Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001558 0.001644 0.001732 0.001830 0.001936 0.002046 0.002170
2025-06-01 0.001411 0.001532 0.001662 0.001811 0.001978 0.002161 0.002377
2025-06-08 0.001324 0.001469 0.001629 0.001819 0.002039 0.002289 0.002594
2025-06-15 0.001243 0.001403 0.001584 0.001804 0.002066 0.002372 0.002759
2025-06-22 0.001182 0.001354 0.001552 0.001797 0.002098 0.002457 0.002926
2025-06-29 0.001124 0.001304 0.001514 0.001780 0.002111 0.002518 0.003061
2025-07-06 0.001073 0.001257 0.001476 0.001759 0.002118 0.002567 0.003182
2025-07-13 0.001015 0.001200 0.001423 0.001714 0.002091 0.002569 0.003239
2025-07-20 0.000986 0.001177 0.001410 0.001719 0.002126 0.002652 0.003406
2025-07-27 0.000962 0.001159 0.001402 0.001729 0.002166 0.002744 0.003588
2025-08-03 0.000946 0.001150 0.001404 0.001751 0.002223 0.002858 0.003807
2025-08-10 0.000921 0.001128 0.001389 0.001749 0.002246 0.002926 0.003963
2025-08-17 0.000884 0.001091 0.001354 0.001723 0.002238 0.002955 0.004071
2025-08-24 0.000854 0.001062 0.001329 0.001708 0.002246 0.003007 0.004219
2025-08-31 0.000835 0.001046 0.001322 0.001716 0.002286 0.003107 0.004446
2025-09-07 0.000809 0.001020 0.001299 0.001703 0.002293 0.003159 0.004598
2025-09-14 0.000787 0.001000 0.001283 0.001697 0.002311 0.003227 0.004781
2025-09-21 0.000764 0.000976 0.001260 0.001681 0.002312 0.003267 0.004920
2025-09-28 0.000740 0.000951 0.001236 0.001661 0.002307 0.003298 0.005045
2025-10-05 0.000711 0.000918 0.001198 0.001620 0.002267 0.003270 0.005065
2025-10-12 0.000698 0.000906 0.001191 0.001625 0.002297 0.003357 0.005293
2025-10-19 0.000687 0.000898 0.001188 0.001634 0.002335 0.003458 0.005552
2025-10-26 0.000681 0.000894 0.001192 0.001654 0.002391 0.003591 0.005881